Traditionally a stronghold for Trump, this demographic’s shift toward Harris could play a decisive role in the upcoming presidential election. Recent polls show a significant narrowing in Trump’s lead among non-college-educated white voters. In May, Trump had a 25-point lead over Joe Biden in this group, but as of August, that lead has shrunk to 14 points.
This change follows Biden’s withdrawal from the race after a lackluster performance in a debate and his endorsement of Harris, who has since secured the Democratic nomination. Harris, now running with Tim Walz as her vice-presidential pick, has shown strong performance in key swing states where non-college-educated whites make up nearly half of the electorate.
CNN’s Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten highlights that Harris’s current standing among these voters is better than Biden’s was in 2020. “These are the numbers Harris needs to secure a win,” Enten notes.
With the election approaching, Harris’s economic-focused message is resonating with this crucial voting bloc, potentially reshaping the political landscape. If successful, Harris would make history as the first woman president of the United States.
