China’s recent military exercise, involving units from the People’s Liberation Army, Navy, Air Force, and Coast Guard, sends a clear message. According to China’s defence ministry, the drills around Taiwan are designed to test the military’s ability to “seize power” in key areas, hinting at a potential annexation. These drills, which began abruptly, included mock missile strikes on key offshore islands and crucial sea lanes.
The provocation for this escalation is the election of Lai Ching Te, from the pro-sovereignty Democratic Progressive Party, as President of Taiwan. Beijing views this party as “separatist.” Similar drills were conducted in 2022 and 2023, reflecting the ongoing tension around Taiwan. While Taiwan enjoys functional autonomy, China’s claim to its territory remains firm, and any move towards annexation would likely result in military escalation.
Two factors complicate the current situation. Firstly, President Xi Jinping has consistently stated that the “re-unification” of China and Taiwan is part of his agenda and has not ruled out the use of force. This stance, whether political rhetoric or genuine intent, adds to the uncertainty.
Secondly, China’s military actions are not just about intimidation but also about asserting power. China’s expansionist activities in the South China Sea and the Indo-Pacific have alarmed neighboring states. The ongoing drills must be seen in this context of intimidation and territorial expansion. Consequently, global powers with interests in the region need to remain vigilant.
