China’s “Two Sessions” Commence Amid Speculations and Changes

Thousands of delegates are set to gather in Beijing for China’s annual political event, the “two sessions,” starting on Monday. The National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference will hold meetings to outline the government’s policy goals for the coming year. While the NPC has the formal power to amend the constitution and approve legislation, it largely serves as a rubber-stamp parliament, with ultimate authority held by the Communist Party.

The event is closely watched for signals on key policy directions and potential personnel changes. The government work report, to be presented by Premier Li Qiang, will outline plans for the year, including the GDP growth target. Speculations surround changes in significant positions, particularly the foreign minister and defense minister offices.

Former Foreign Minister Qin Gang, who disappeared from public view since June, recently resigned as an NPC delegate, signaling a fall from grace. Wang Yi, who replaced Qin as foreign minister, is expected to be a temporary appointment, with a new foreign minister possibly announced during the two sessions. Changes in the defense minister position, with the removal of Li Shangfu, raise questions about future appointments and potential impacts on China’s global relations.

Observers are keenly anticipating the government work report for insights into economic policies. Premier Li is likely to announce a modest GDP growth target, aligning with the previous year’s target of 5%. The report will shed light on fiscal support measures and the government’s approach to economic challenges amid President Xi Jinping’s emphasis on national security over economic growth. Recent legal changes expanding the scope of sensitive information to “work secrets” further highlight China’s focus on national security, potentially impacting businesses operating in the country.